Predictions for Kasimdzhanov-Kasparov, FIDE World Championship 2005



Kasimdzhanov to win the match:    5.7%
Kasparov to win the match:       90.0%
Match drawn: 		          4.3%

Kasimdzhanov to win a tie-break: 45.9%
Kasparov to win a tie-break:     54.1%

Kasimdzhanov to keep the title:   7.6%
Kasparov to win the title:       92.4%


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Score  	          Probability [%]
----------------------------------
 +4 Kasimdzhanov   	0.2
 +3 Kasimdzhanov   	0.8
 +2 Kasimdzhanov   	1.8
 +1 Kasimdzhanov   	2.9
  0    			4.3
 +1 Kasparov  	       10.6
 +2 Kasparov  	       18.6
 +3 Kasparov  	       23.4
 +4 Kasparov  	       23.7
 +5 Kasparov  	       11.5
 +6 Kasparov   		2.3
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  # of       	  Probability [%]
decisive     
  games
----------------------------------
  0    			0.0
  1    			0.3
  2    			1.7
  3    			5.5
  4   		       12.0
  5   		       18.9
  6   	               22.0
  7   		       19.2
  8   		       12.3
  9    			5.7
 10    			1.8
 11    			0.4
 12    			0.0
----------------------------------